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Countdown:
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RCP
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PBS (270 to Win)
(source: http://www.au.af.mil/au/awc/awcgate/crs/98-157.pdf) ProLife (51%) v ProDeath (41%) death (Gallup) 2nd Amendment +97% (USA Today) (U6) Underemployed=14.6%-22.5% (U3) Unemployed=7.9%-14.6% (29.9% ELC,CA 21Sep12) (WND & BLS/U.S. Gov & Gallup & Ca.gov EDD) Unemployment: U1=4.4% • U2=4.2% • U3=7.9% • U4=8.4% • U5=9.3% • U6=14.6% (2Nov, http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.t15.htm) OHIO: Leans Obama Toss-ups: CO, IA, NH, VA, WI plus FL-Leans R NV, OH-Leans O (Sabato, Mo.5Nov12) OHIO: Obama 49.4% Romney 46.5% (Mo.5Nov, Rasmussen) OHIO: O-49.4 R=46.5 (RCP, Su.4Nov12) OHIO: O-48% R-46 (We.31Oct12, Cleveland Plains Dealer) by Stephen Koff, Cleveland The Plain Dealer, Washington Bureau Chief, October 28, 2012 quote article source: http://www.cleveland.com/open/index.ssf/2012/10/ohio_presidential_poll.html "..Ohio is widely acknowledged as the ultimate prize. ¶
Political scientists and analysts say it would be very hard to win 270 electoral votes, a bare majority, without Ohio and its 18 electoral votes that go to the victor. Since 1860, when Abraham Lincoln won, every Republican who won the presidency has done so with the help of Ohio. And John F. Kennedy was the last Democrat who won the presidency without taking Ohio. That was in 1960."
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RCP Electoral: Obama - 201 Romney - 191 (Toss Ups: 146)
270 Votes Are Needed To Win on Mo.17Dec12 in the Electoral College. also see: Obama (D) vs. Romney (R) (RCP Polls: 1 Page Print) Obama (D) 48.8% Romney (R) 48.1% (RCP Polls) Obama's Job Approval / Disapproval Polling Data from Real Clear Politics Latest: -47.4% v +50.0% Rasmussen: Obama = 48% Romney = 49% Rasmussen: Tu.6Nov12 Presidential Approval Index -8 Strongly Approve 35% Strongly Disapprove 43% Total Approve 50% Total Disapprove 49% Rasmussen Reports' Daily Presidential Tracking Poll Rasmussen Favorables: Congress Members, Presidents & Major Figures Rasmussen Electoral: Romney - 206 Obama - 237 Toss-up 95 Gallup President: 52% Disapprove - 44% Approve (1-4Nov12) Gallup Election: Obama 49% - Romney 48% (7 day registered avg) Gallup Election: Obama 46% - Romney 49% (7 day likely avg) Electoral-Vote.com: O-303 R-220 + 15 Ties (Tu.6Nov12) IBD: Romney 48.7% Obama 50.3% (O+1.6%) (Mo.5Nov, final) Intrade Election Odds: Obama - 73.4% Romney - 26.7% Election Projection, Senate: Dem - 51 Rep - 47 Ind - 2 (Tu.6Nov12) Election Projection, House: Dem - 195 Rep - 240 (Tu.6Nov12) Electoral Chart: Obama-303 (49.5%) Romney-235 (49.0%) (O+0.5%) 6Nov12 Reuters/ISPOS: Obama - 48.8% Romney - 48.1% (Mo.5Nov: R46-191E/O48-290E) Pollster Graph: Obama - 48.1% Romney - 46.7% (588 polls avg, Huff., 11:50amE) Pollster Electoral: Obama 277 - Romney 191 (Tu.6Nov12, Huff, 9:51amE) Washington Post Electoral: 0-243 R-206 & 0-50% R-47% (Tu.6Nov12) WSJ Politico/GWU/Battleground: Obama-47% Romney-47% (graphs, Tu.6Nov) Prognostications Sabato-State of the Electoral: Obama: 290-Romney: 248 (Mo.5Nov12) Deserves Reelection?: Obama +40%-54% | Obama 43% Romney 46% (2Sep12) UCB Predicts: Romney 330/61.3%/Obama 208/38.7% (4Oct12, models) "USA Today's" Interactive Presidents Comparison Chart (1945-Now) RCP's Direction of U.S. Polling Data+Graph Latest Polls + Graphed Google's Election Trends: News, Searches, Videos Patchwork Nation: State, County, and District Maps & Trending (interactive) Interactive Graphics - History Timeline: 1832-2012 Dem or Rep Campaigns |
General Election Votes: Graph Source, Huffington Post:
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2012-general-election-romney-vs-obama & Huffington Polls Charts |
Electoral College:
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Election Projection: Tu.6Nov12
source: http://www.electionprojection.com/2012elections |
See All President Obama Job Approval Polling Data |
source: http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2012/Pres/ec_graph-2012.html
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Table sources:
U.S. Economic Indicators
&
Sabato's "The Echoes of Incumbents Past"
source: Rasmussen Reports 2012 Presidential Election Graph |
Chart linked from article source: http://www.centerforpolitics.org
Source: James E. Campbell, “Forecasting the 2012 American National Elections: Editor’s Introduction,” PS: Political Science & Politics, v.45, n.4 (October 2012), forthcoming. |
UPI Upate: Fr.2Nov12: likely voters R=48% O=48% Pew: Obama-50% & Romney-47% (Su.4Nov12) 8 October 2012 Mitt Romney no longer trails Barack Obama in Pew Research Center polling. Voters say Romney did a better job than Obama in the Oct. 3 debate. Romney is now better regarded on most personal dimensions and most issues than he was in September. |
This chart tracks likely voters, based on national polls conducted by Pew Research Center. (Su.4Nov12)
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chart source: http://wiki.abulsme.com/2012_Electoral_College_Prediction
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The Election: |
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2012 Election - Take Action: Find and See Ratings of Legislators (Source: The Blaze/GBTV)
Presidential Candidates: Compare top the Top Nine
Public Employee Salaries, US Presidents, FEC Individual Contributions, Individual Income Tax, Religions, Candidate Contributions, Federal Income Tax Rates, Recovery and Reinvestment Act, FEC Committee Contributions, FEC Election Fines, Historical Federal Budget, White House Visitors, FEC Candidates, Index of Economic Freedom, White House Staff, FEC Committees
Four things you can do to help the world and to Save America: http://www.glennbeck.com/fourthings/
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From: OnTheIssues.org
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